Why Jeremy Lin is likely not a long term solution

The truth is that the newest member of the New York Knicks, Jeremy Lin, has shown flashes of excellence throughout his college career, the 2010 NBA Summer League, and with his brief stint with Golden State Warriors, but the 23 year old point guard played in just 29 games last season and failed to accumulate 100 total points. That shouldn’t and doesn’t define him as a player; his game is more focused on the pick and roll and quality defense (Lin tallied a steal in all but seven of his games last season.)

Now, ironically enough, Lin might see his first action in a Knicks uniform against a depleted Golden State backcourt, where Stephen Curry may sit out. Granted, its unlikely New York’s first Asian American product since Wat Misaka (in 1947) gets a lot of burn before even completing a couple of practices with the team.

The reason though that Jeremy Lin isn’t likely to be the Knicks point guard in April or May is because of the unexpected depth they already have at the point guard position. Mike Bibby, Iman Shumpert (expected to return in 2-4 weeks), Baron DavisToney Douglas, and Carmelo Anthony are all ahead of Lin on the depth chart as point guards. One is a hybrid point-forward and can’t be expected to defend point guards well (Melo), one is really shooting guard being forced to play point guard (Douglas). Three others are “banged up” (Bibby, Shumpert, and Davis).

So that makes the claiming of Lin on the waiver wire a smart move. Will it be a move made for the long term? Probably not. But was it a move the Knicks needed to make in order to put a decent roster in the backcourt? Definitely.

It’s important to keep expectations in check for Lin’s arrival to Knicks nation. He went undrafted. He was not supposed to do anything in the NBA. He just wanted a chance to play for an NBA team. What better way to do it than to play with two, possibly three, All-Stars in Carmelo Anthony, Amar’e Stoudemire, and Tyson Chandler.

With that being said, there is a good chance Lin’s skills work well in Mike D’Antoni’s offensive system, where there is a heavy reliance on picking, rolling, running, and gunning.

The addition of Lin maxes out the Knicks roster at 15, but have no fear, the mini mid-level exception the Knicks can still offer is not in jeopardy. The team can always cut him or possibly even send him down to the D-League.

  • Averddy

    Toney Douglas is NOT a point guard. Bibby is 87 years old. Davis is a question mark.

    • http://twitter.com/KnicksVision Knicks Vision

      I agree with you in the sense that Toney Douglas shouldn’t play point guard, but he consistently brought up the ball on Sunday and guarded the opposition’s point guard thus making him a point guard… Bibby is actually only 33… and Davis will start as a point in the playoffs.

      • Shadow_Spirit

        Bringing the ball down and guarding the opposing point guard doesn’t really make you a point guard, especially in a team where running the system is vital and for that you need a real one to do it. Douglas has failed trying, so please don’t count him as a point guard.

        • http://twitter.com/KnicksVision Knicks Vision

          Just because you do something poorly doesn’t mean you didn’t do it. Douglas is a poor point guard, but he does play the position. That much is undeniable.

  • Anonymous

    Seriously, this is such a stupid post. “Will it be a move made for the long term? Absolutely not.” The kid is 23 years old–what the hell do you know about how long he’ll last? More to the point, the Knicks in one year acquire Carmelo Anthony, Tyson Chandler and Baron Davis, and the dumbass bloggers are whining about the point guard position. There are no perfect teams, dude. The Heat don’t have a center, the Lakers won championships with a mediocre point guard…the salary cap forces teams to have different levels of players. So let the kid get his jersey before the whining starts. And who knows (certainly not you)

    • http://twitter.com/KnicksVision Knicks Vision

      This post is not whining. This post is also not about the Knicks winning a championship. 

      This is about Jeremy Lin and how long he’ll last with the Knicks. Yes, this post is a guess, but it is an educated one. Knowing his effectiveness last season and combining it with the the Knicks already large bench filled with point guards, it is not likely he ends the team with the Knicks.

      I am rooting for Jeremy Lin to succeed, and for him to win the MVP, and for him to lead the Knicks to a championship. I’m dealing with practicality though. It was a great move for the Knicks in the short term. BUT he’s still not a long term option if the Knicks want to keep ahold of that ever-so valuable mini-MLE.

      • Anonymous

        Wrong, and that’s exactly my point: it’s an uneducated guess. NBA history is replete with stories of longshots who’ve made it big. And focusing on the negative the very day the guy is picked up is the worst of NY journalism. Pessimism patting itself on the back under the guise of “practicality”. Would’ve loved to have heard your opinion when the Knicks first signed Starks or Mason.

        • http://twitter.com/KnicksVision Knicks Vision

          “So that makes the claiming of Lin on the waiver wire a smart move.”

          “With that being said, there is a good chance Lin’s skills work well in Mike D’Antoni’s offensive system, where there is a heavy reliance on picking, rolling, running, and gunning.”

          This is not negative. Sure, I was arguing for us, as a fanbase, to keep our expectations in check, but I do think he’ll do well in orange and blue when given the opportunity. You have to understand that this post was done as a response to the sentiment on my Twitter timeline that Jeremy Lin was going to single-handedly save the backcourt. 

          I’m just thinking about his impact with a level head, that’s all.

          • Anonymous

            I guess that’s a lesson in context. Many of us are too busy during the day to follow Twitter,and like to settle down at night with your blog and others to read about our Knicks. And I probably stated my point too harshly (another NY trait). But please just consider this: of course it’s silly to suggest that a guy just released is the savior of anything. But one of the beautiful things about the internet is that fans are no longer captive to the few newspaper beatwriters. Your post reminded me of Berman, Isola, Lawrence. But that’s why I always read your blog and never click on them, because if there’s a possible negative twist you know they’re going to focus on it. If the Knicks beat the Celtics, their focus will be that Pierce missed the game, but when they write about the Celtics sweeping the Knicks in the playoffs last year, you won’t read about Billups missing most of the series or Amar’e being hurt. So please don’t become them. You’re a much better read than they are, and you free us from ever needing to click on their crap.

            Keep up the good work!

          • http://knicksvision.com Dan Miranda

            Thank you for the compliments and thank you for taking the time to make the comments. Both are appreciated.

          • kissit

            funny i thought the article was too optimistic..what were you reading?

  • Jc201

    Bad article

    • http://twitter.com/KnicksVision Knicks Vision

      Worse comment

      • Anonymous

        Instead of getting defensive, why don’t you take a minute to consider whether your commenters might have a point?

        • http://twitter.com/KnicksVision Knicks Vision

          Wasn’t getting defensive, just wish he elaborated on why he thought it was a bad article.

          • Anonymous

            Fair enough

        • kissit

          why are y ou hating on Dan 1 game in to the season
          get a life

        • FireFans

          Where are your insightful or remotely relevant Basketball points?

        • The Intellectual’s Cornhole

          Why dont you write a Blog ? Expert…..

          • Monkwall07

            Wow, disrespect from two guys named kissit and The Intellectual’s Cornhole. I see that, like the Knicks, I’m really dealing with the Ivy League here.

  • FireFans

    hey DAN

    dont let these guys get you down…some of the other blogs getting hundreds of hits over someones REPOST of some other persons TWEET? 

    I appreciate your take!  And when you say that he could fit DAntoni’s system…i think its relevant.  Knicks DONT WANT another guy who wants to score.  That would be a reason they passed on luvable N8.

    Also noone wants to say it…but this is the first Asian to play for the Knicks.  CHINA and Asia are a huge market for the NBA.

    Meanwhile  the KNicks are stacking themsleves with multiples at as many positions as possible.  And he’s 6’3.  All the Tony D lovers out therebragging on his DFense and noone mentions that RONDO destroys him every single time out.  Now one of you come on and explain that to me?

    Now can DAntoni coach them?  Okay the win was just so-so.  I dont see some new commitment to D?

    Melo is awesome…but everyone needs to step up..because come playoff time TEAMS win…even in the Jordan era.  Otherwise we’d have 3 more rings right now.

    • http://knicksvision.com/ Dan Miranda

      Good points about the way the Knicks are adding to their roster multiple players at each position:

      PG – Bibby, Douglas, B Davis, Lin
      SG – Fields, Novak, Shumpert*
      SF – Melo, Balkman, Walker
      PF – Amar’e, Jeffries* (possibly K-Mart?)
      C – Chandler, Harrellson, Jordan

  • Kevin Dolorico

    I like the signing – in the sense that we have a low-risk, high reward type of player on the roster. 

    • http://knicksvision.com/ Dan Miranda

      Great comment, thank you for the insight. While I agree with you he is “more” likely to be the future, there still isn’t a high chance he IS the future. I think Shumpert is much more likely than Lin to be playing starting PG in two years, but it is pretty much impossible to think down that road.

  • Anonymous

    The only way we can decide if the kid has game is giving him a chance to play. I bet we  will amazed of his perfomance on the court.

    • http://knicksvision.com Dan Miranda

      Hope you’re right.

  • http://twitter.com/lovethoseknicks lovethoseknicks

    I more or less agree with the article. Lin was a smart pickup, but he’s unlikely to last unless one of our other PGs struggles with his health.   On the flip side, he’s young, smart, and hardworking etc… So it’s always possible we get an upside surprise.

  • Pingback: Setting the Jeremy Lin Story Straight | Knicks Vision

  • bahaha

    I love google for keeping this post fresh. Great call!

  • justArandomNBAfan

    ^ agreed. Wow, blog author, don’t give up your day job…

  • Pingback: Setting the Jeremy Lin Story Straight | All New York Knicks News